Abstract Based on the study of dynamic systems, this paper introduces a model of dynamic evolutionary system, evolutionary factors and advance rate of carbon emissions due to coal in order to predict coal consumption and carbon emissions due to coal. Furthermore, scenario analysis is introduced, and by setting the gradual dropped coal ratio of primary energy consumption four scenarios of carbon emissions due to coal are introduced and evolutionary analysis is made. Quantitative analysis of china’s future carbon emissions due to coal helps to realize the goal of the mitigate carbon emissions.
2012, Vol. 9 
