管理学报
  May. 23, 2025
Home |  About Journal  |  Editorial Board  |  Instruction  |  Subscriptions  |  Advertisement  |  Contacts Us  |  Chinese
J4  2005, Vol. 2 Issue (6): 680-    DOI:
Current Issue| Next Issue| Archive| Adv Search |
Study of Price Discovery of China's Farm Produce Futures Based on VAR Model
 WANG Jun, ZHANG Zong-Cheng
Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan,China

Download: PDF (226 KB)   HTML (1 KB) 
Export: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)      
Abstract  

Taken the soybean and the hard wheat in two commodity exchanges,the dynamic relationship between the prices of the spot and futures was studied and the role of the future market in price discovery was quantitatively disclosed,using VAR model,cointegration test,error correction model,variance decomposition methods and impulse responses function etc.It showed that there was a mutual guidance and long-term equilibrium relationship between spot and futures prices.As to soybean,futures market was in the lead in price discovery.Spot market exerted an important effect on the price discovery of the hard wheat.

Key wordsfarm produce futures      VAR model      cointegration test      variance decomposition      impulse responses function     
Received: 08 November 2004     
Service
E-mail this article
Add to my bookshelf
Add to citation manager
E-mail Alert
RSS
Articles by authors
WANG Jun
ZHANG Zong-Cheng
Cite this article:   
WANG Jun,ZHANG Zong-Cheng. Study of Price Discovery of China's Farm Produce Futures Based on VAR Model[J]. J4, 2005, 2(6): 680-.
URL:  
http://manu68.magtech.com.cn/Jwk_glxb/EN/     OR     http://manu68.magtech.com.cn/Jwk_glxb/EN/Y2005/V2/I6/680
Copyright  ©  CHINESE JOURNAL OF MANAGEMENT
Support by Beijing Magtech Co.ltd   support@magtech.com.cn