To solve the problem of imbalance of resource demand and supply in emergency process, this paper redefines the elementary cell of GERT network in emergency process, establishes the GERT combining the natural evolution of disaster and the action of emergency rescue, designs the maximum entropy model for solving the emergency state shift probability, simplify the GERT network and proposes the algorithm for optimal allocation of resources. This research provides the framework and tools for the allocation of resources in the way of qualitative and quantitative analysis. Meanwhile, it offers a new methods and ideas for the forecasting and evaluation of the disaster evolutionary tendency.
杨保华, 方志耕, 刘思峰, 郭本海. 基于GERT网络的应急抢险过程 资源优化配置模型研究[J]. J4, 2011, 8(12): 1879-.
YANG Bao-Hua, FANG Zhi-Geng, LIU Si-Feng, GUO Ben-Hai. Optimal Resources Allocation Model for Emergency Rescue Process Based on the GERT Network. J4, 2011, 8(12): 1879-.