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Journal of Nursing ›› 2022, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (19): 11-15.doi: 10.16460/j.issn1008-9969.2022.19.011

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Construction of Risk Prediction Model of Craniofacial Medical Device-related Pressure Injury in ICU Patients

QI Jin-fang1, DONG Zhen-hui2, LI Yang1, LI Zhen-gang1, WANG Zhi-wei1   

  1. 1. School of Nursing, Xinjiang Medical University, Urimqi 830016,China;
    2. The Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University, Urimqi 830002,China
  • Received:2022-05-22 Published:2022-11-08

Abstract: Objective To explore the risk factors of craniofacial medical device-related pressure injury in ICU patients and to establish a predictive model. Methods Two hundred and ten ICU patients from June 2021 to February 2022 were divided into group A (n=50, with craniofacial medical device-related pressure injury) and B (n=160, without craniofacial medical device-related pressure injury). The binary logistic regression model was used to analyze the risk factors, and a prediction model was constructed and verified. Results Among the 210 subjects, medical device-related pressure injury was observed in 50 patients (23.8%). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that edema, prone position, acute physiology and chronic health evaluationⅡ score and time of using vasoactive drugs were independent factors affecting the craniofacial medical device-related pressure injury of ICU patients. A regression equation was established to predict the risk of craniofacial medical device-related pressure injury:Logit(P)=12.399+2.153×edema+2.217×prone position+0.541×APACHEⅡscore+0.342×vasoactive drug use time. AUC of nomogram model was 0.945(95%CI:0.926~0.964), and the model differentiation was good. The calibration curve showed that the calibration degree of the model was better, and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test(χ2=3.063, P=0.930)showed that the model fitted well. Conclusion The craniofacial medical device-related pressure injury risk prediction model of ICU patients constructed in this study has a good risk identification ability and can provide reference for early screening of high-risk patients.

Key words: craniofacial, medical device-related pressure injury, predictive model, nomogram

CLC Number: 

  • R47
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