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J4  2005, Vol. 2 Issue (5): 591-    DOI:
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Empirical Research of The Three-factor Model in Chinese Stock Market
 DENG Chang-Rong, MA Yong-Kai
University of Electronic Science and Technology of China,Chengdu,China

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Abstract  

The three-factor Model,established by Fama and French, is considered to describe cross-sectional stock returns better than CAPM.On the basis of newest 96 month stock data from 01/ 1996 to 12/2003,the three-factor model was researched and tested.It was found that the model is suitable for Chinese Stock Market.Then the coefficient stability and the forecast ability of the model were studied and the so-called'new-year effect'tested.It was drawn the conclusions that the m/L and b/L portfolios have the'January effect' and the m/M portfolio has the 'February effect'.Our researches provided some bases for the selection,forecast,and decision of investment portfolios.

Key wordsthree-factor model      stock market      new-year effect      portfolio;forecast     
Received: 30 July 2004     
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DENG Chang-Rong
MA Yong-Kai
Cite this article:   
DENG Chang-Rong,MA Yong-Kai. Empirical Research of The Three-factor Model in Chinese Stock Market[J]. J4, 2005, 2(5): 591-.
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http://manu68.magtech.com.cn/Jwk_glxb/EN/     OR     http://manu68.magtech.com.cn/Jwk_glxb/EN/Y2005/V2/I5/591
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