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J4  2006, Vol. 3 Issue (2): 211-    DOI:
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An Empirical Research:  Multi-cointegration Relationship Among Al Futures, Al Spots and Oxide-Al
 CHEN Xiao-Hong, SHE Jian
Central South University, Changsha,China

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Abstract  

Causal analysis would be difficult if the time series of non-stationarity process. Non-stationarity theory and vector error correction model can be used for this type of the problem. Multi-cointegration and causal relationship were introduced. The multi-cointegration among Aluminum Futures, Aluminum spots and oxide-Al at Shanghai Metal Exchange were studied by the above models. The results showed that the three price series followed the multi-cointegration relationship by the VAR model. The casual relationship among the three prices series were proposed.

Key wordsfuture market      VAR model      mutil-cointegration relationship      casual relationship     
Received: 17 May 2005     
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CHEN Xiao-Hong
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Cite this article:   
CHEN Xiao-Hong,SHE Jian. An Empirical Research:  Multi-cointegration Relationship Among Al Futures, Al Spots and Oxide-Al[J]. J4, 2006, 3(2): 211-.
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