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J4  2007, Vol. 4 Issue (4): 453-    DOI:
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Dynamic Analysis of the Crude Oil Prices at Home and Abroad
 ZHANG Yi-Xiang, SUN Han, CHENG Jin-Hua
China University of Geoscience,Wuhan,China

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Abstract  

Taking the internal and external spot month crude oil price as the variable, these variables were analyzed dynamically.  Whether there are cointegration relations between the variables were tested by maximum likelihood method of Johansen and Juselius (JJ).  The results show that dynamic equilibrium relations exist in them.  Through Granger causality test and building error correction model, it is proved that there are dynamic balance relations between the two variables.  The dynamic balance relations were decomposed by using impulse response function and prediction error decomposition to understand the interaction mechanisms and extent of the effect. 

Key wordscrude oil price      dynamic relations      dynamic      analysis     
Received: 11 May 2007     
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ZHANG Yi-Xiang
SUN Han
CHENG Jin-Hua
Cite this article:   
ZHANG Yi-Xiang,SUN Han,CHENG Jin-Hua. Dynamic Analysis of the Crude Oil Prices at Home and Abroad[J]. J4, 2007, 4(4): 453-.
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http://manu68.magtech.com.cn/Jwk_glxb/EN/     OR     http://manu68.magtech.com.cn/Jwk_glxb/EN/Y2007/V4/I4/453
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