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J4  2008, Vol. 5 Issue (1): 49-    DOI:
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Correlation between the Stock Prices and Exchange Rates after Reforming RMB' Exchange Rate Systems
 GUO Yan-Feng, HUANG De-Shi, WEI Yu
Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu,China

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Abstract  

n analysis of long-run and short-run association between the share market and the exchange rates in China was carried out through cointegration, vector error correction modeling technique and VEC Granger causality tests, in which daily data covering July 2005 to April 2007 was used.  The results show a cointegration relationship and long run equilibrium between the two variables in China.  It is found that there is unidirectional causality from exchange rates to stock prices in both the short-run and long-run, implicating for investors, policy makers and academicians.

Key wordsshare market index      exchange rate      cointegration      vector error correction model      VEC Granger causality relationship     
Received: 06 July 2007     
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GUO Yan-Feng
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GUO Yan-Feng,HUANG De-Shi,WEI Yu. Correlation between the Stock Prices and Exchange Rates after Reforming RMB' Exchange Rate Systems[J]. J4, 2008, 5(1): 49-.
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