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J4  2014, Vol. 11 Issue (9): 1403-    DOI:
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基于计划行为理论的高速铁路乘坐意向研究
刘健 张宁
北京航空航天大学经济管理学院
A Study on Intention of Taking HighSpeed Rail Based on Theory of Planned Behavior
LIU Jian,ZHANG Ning
Beihang University, Beijing, China

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摘要 以计划行为理论为框架,引入追求新奇、信任和过去行为3个变量,探析了影响高速铁路乘坐意向的关键因素,构建了潜在出行者的高速铁路乘坐意向模型。以收集的工作者和学生329个样本数据为基础,运用结构方程模型进行实证检验,并以职业作为调节变量进行了分组分析。研究发现:态度、主观规范和感知行为控制对高速铁路乘坐意向均有直接的正向影响,其中态度最为显著,主观规范次之;追求新奇和信任对高速铁路乘坐意向也有间接的正向影响,过去行为则直接正向地影响高速铁路乘坐意向;职业变量在不同群组间的影响效应存在显著差异。由此,基于研究结果提出了高速铁路运营管理的若干建议。
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关键词 计划行为理论高速铁路态度主观规范感知行为控制追求新奇信任过去行为    
Abstract:In light of theory of planned behavior (TPB), the study explores the factors influencing the willingness to take highspeed rail (HSR) with the addition of three constructsnovelty seeking, trust and past behavior and develops a model to investigate potential travelers’ HSR usage intention. 329 sample data including college students and workers are empirically tested by applying structural equation model and multiple group analysis is conducted with vocation as a moderator variable. Results indicate that attitude, subjective norm and perceived behavior control have direct positive effects on the intention of taking HSR, of which attitude plays the most significant role, followed closely by subjective norm. Furthermore, novelty seeking and trust, as well as past behavior also have indirect and direct positive effects on HSR usage intention, respectively. In addition, there exists some difference in effects induced by vocation variable between various sample groups. On the basis of research findings, several management suggestions are derived. 
Key wordsthe theory of planned behavior    highspeed rail    attitude    subjective norm    perceived behavior control    novelty seeking    trust    past behavior   
收稿日期: 2012-12-14     
基金资助:国家自然科学基金创新研究群体科学基金资助项目(70521001)
通讯作者: 刘健(1983~),女,辽宁朝阳人。北京航空航天大学(北京市 100191)经济管理学院博士研究生。研究方向为交通运输规划与管理。     E-mail: lj0856@163.com
引用本文:   
刘健 张宁. 基于计划行为理论的高速铁路乘坐意向研究[J]. J4, 2014, 11(9): 1403-. LIU Jian,ZHANG Ning. A Study on Intention of Taking HighSpeed Rail Based on Theory of Planned Behavior. J4, 2014, 11(9): 1403-.
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